Here's a picture taken on February 23rd of last spring showing how some species of tree peonies are the first to show up. There are multiple ones that emerged so this was not an extreme outlier.


For all the tree peony seeds that did sprout roots last fall, they will have had a good vernalization by now so if there is a big enough thaw to melt away all the snow, these seedlings will be at the risk of sprouting. 2nd year seedlings typically sprout 2-3 weeks later maybe due to their size, but one downfall of growing them from seed is that they can emerge way sooner than they should.